Posts Tagged ‘to’
Today we look at the alternate views of the longer term market based on Elliott wave analysis. Some other things to keep in mind is that this market needs to retrace very very soon. We managed to call the top around 1044-1046 today, and we expect some sort of selling pressure into monday. We look at SPX, Dow Jones, JPM and XLF (which are both forming H&S formations).
Duration : 0:5:1
JUST AS EXPECTED! We saw a rally to 920-926, more specifically 923 and then the market reversed to end up just a little up for the day on incredibly low volume. This to me, seems like a bear flag development and is very bearish for tomorrows trading. Also strong options activity shows that we could be selling off very strongly both friday late trading and monday as people have sold to open millions of contracts that are IN THE MONEY (75-90$ calls). Check out this video, as we might be headed for a strong sell off to the 875-880 level on the SPX.
Duration : 0:8:58
First of all, if you are interested or have any questions about the Short-Stocks Hedge Fund email me at: idan.koren@duke.edu
Today I look at the strong rally which was put to an end by the bad earnings in the after-hours of AMZN and MSFT. I look at some of the trades I made today, and some of the possible trades that could be looked at in the future. My guess is that today was a blow off top, and that we might see a few days or maybe even a week of consolidation between 927 and 960 on the SPX. In this video i also look at the SPY, GS and AMZN and talk about the market pscyhology of today’s rally.
Duration : 0:10:15
Don’t waste your ammo, invest it. The way to do that is doing a Nutnfancy-type “RunNGun” with your friends and family. While benchrest, tin can shooting , and paper punching have their place and are fun, these days I’m a fan of our heart pumping, competitive RunNGuns. With the right folks in attendance, these course are a blast to shoot and provide stress-oriented training that can transfer to other weapon platforms. TNP RunNGun courses are generally 100 yards in length with various stages, frequently the last being a transition to pistol to simulate malfunctions or ammo exhaustion. You can use just about any gun in the RunNGun but .22 rifles are still fun and are inexpensive to shoot. I still like a .22 bolt-equipped AR-15 for training realism ( http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fC5UbgB_tfE ) but I also remain a big fan of a properly equipped Ruger 10/22. Here I discuss this POU and how I modified a 10/22 into be the DuraCoated (”DCoat”) Ruger TAPCO 10/22 RNG (Run And Gun). It has been designed to be a faster firing, reliable, lightweight, adjustable, easily slung, night-capable, ergonomic, and cool looking 10/22 platform. Indeed our field testing of the gun confirmed the achievement of these goals. The Tapco Intrafuse stock is excellent: strong, slim in profile, adequate and stable Picatinny railing, great pistol grip, good traction, and has excellent ergos (and LOP adjustment). Other good options are available as well to include a cost saving modification to the factory Ruger stock. This TAPCO Intrafuse also has a small polymer Streamlight Tactical Illuminator mount was mounted by me on the side for light accommodation and the setup is shown with the Ergo “Pop Bottle” vertical grip (#4253 in Coyote Brown). The Model A30 ADCO red dot rights on top to provide fast, precise aiming capability day or night, rain or shine. Its 1.5 MOA dot is preferential to me. A John Masen-brand short 10/22 flash suppressor was chosen for visual balance and a cool factor. A “KZ FAST” brand single point sling utilizes the included TAPCO mount making the gun fast in transition. Receiver mods include a Clark Custom trigger, Christie’s Auto Bolt Release, and Tactical Innovations red bolt buffer (ext mag release is stock Ruger). The stock Ruger barrel was retained for better reliability and still exhibits excellent accuracy. Several coats of Tactical Coyote Brown DuraCoat are applied to the 10/22, producing a very tough, cool, and functional monochromatic exterior which blends into our desert environment (the FDE TAPCO stock was also shot for color consistency). The result is an impressive RunNGun .22 option that is fast, ergonomic, fun, and cool. It has risen to the level of one of my all time favorite .22s. Look to future RunNGun outings and you will see this DCoat TAPCO putting the smack down on our target plates in the hands of TNP players. /////////////////// Nutnfancy Likeability Scale: 11 out of 10 (all brands and models subject to change of course) ////////////// TWO PART VIDEO INTO ONE FOR CONVENIENCE
Duration : 0:39:42
http://www.tradingoptionslab.com/track/go.php?c=keysuccess1
Overview: While the majority of traders hope to make a profit trading options, we take a more business like approach and hope has nothing to do with it.
Trading options to us is entrepreneurial. We take advantage of market opportunities, build positions, manage a portfolio and generate profits trading options based on:
1. fundamental business principles and
2. market truths
We are not investment advisers or financial planners, we are retail investors like you. We do not not manage money and we do not make recommendations on any stock or option investment. We trade our own accounts.
Our purpose for establishing our training program and this website is to provide education to retail investors like us who want a smarter, simpler, less stressful and more profitable way to trade even with limited capital.
Business Principles:
We pursue opportunities in the market and then manage those opportunities based on the numbers.
All successful businesses manage their activities based on certain numbers: key ratios, profit and loss, conversions, overhead and more. That is what we do: manage our investment business by the numbers.
When a number is off we dig deeper into our business activities to see where the problem lies and make adjustments to our portfolio so that we generate the maximum amount of profits for the capital we invest, just like any good and successful business.
The only thing that matters in business is ROI (return on investment). In our type of business, we regard ROM (return on margin) as our ultimate goal. That is the name of the game and we never deviate from it because the numbers never lie.
The Only Truths of the Market:
For stocks there is only ONE Absolute Truth:
1. All stocks fluctuate in price.
For options there are only TWO Absolute Truths:
1. All options fluctuate in price.
2. All options expire.
The top traders in the world learn to respect these rules because they are the only truths of the market.
You might think there are other truths but there are not – everything you hear about the market outside these 2 rules is hearsay, opinion, commentary and even complete fantasy.
We are investing as entrepreneurs – we watch for opportunities, create a plan for trading activities based on solid business principles, plot our expected ROM (return on margin) and then manage those trades by the numbers.
How Do We Trade This Information?
We take these Market Truths and design a trading strategy which means taking advantage of market opportunities and building positions and portfolios around them. As we know its impossible to predict the future and that the market can be irrational and cause large losses at times for the average retail investor So instead of predicting market behavior we create fluid positions that are managed and adjusted according to market conditions so that we are always allocating capital as new opportunities present themselves.
The one art most retail investors are not taught is how to adjust positions once they are placed. Learning the art of adjusting trades is the insiders edges over retail investors- but not any longer. Once you learn how to adjust a trade so that it makes money (instead of losing money) you will be amazed at the results.
All businesses have risks. In this business there are 4 risks but the risks can be managed. And, it takes 15 minutes – sometimes less – a day to manage these types of positions.
If you are interested in learning more about how we trade as a business and get information on our home study course we have developed, watch the videos that are available on our site – no email address or registration is required. And when you are ready to learn the EXACT way to trade for monthly profits and with total confidence go here to sign up for our course:
http://www.tradingoptionslab.com
On our blog, we will provide free videos on an occasional basis so if your are interested in getting notified when they are available sign up with our newsletter.
Duration : 0:8:3
Today I give an overview of the last day of the month and its importance to the shorter term plays. The bulls seem to stay in control in this market but then lose their grip when a close above resistance lines need to be made. The bears, put the minimal amount of effort required to close below strong resistance lines, and thus a more bearish sentiment should start forming pretty soon. A monthly candle close below 875 on the S&P definitely vows for the bears, although it doesn’t necessarily mean that there is no more upside from here. I explain my trades for the day, and give people a nice SRS options trade. I also look at the Dow Jones industrial chart, GS, XLF, SRS and SPY.
Duration : 0:9:19
http://blog.accendotraders.com – Technical analysis has been around for decades and through the years, traders have seen the invention of hundreds of indicators. While some technical indicators are more popular than others, few have proved to be as objective, reliable and useful as the moving average.
Duration : 0:10:58
http://www.informedtrades.com http://www.tradingapples.com
Brendan and Shoot’s Beginner Trading Series Introduction.
This series will consist of different trading videos for newer traders and provide them with a map of how to start out their trading career.
Duration : 0:5:4
Today I look at some overbought conditions both on the RSI and MACD, and explain the significance in these embedded environments as we hit some extremely strong necktie resistances between two huge trendlines. While the 38.2% are very close, and people expect us to hit it, I believe the first push lower of either a reversal or consolidation might start as soon as early or late monday and will continue for more than one day. In this video I also look at the inverse H&S on the Dow and S&P that broke out and explain what the ramifications may be for a very strong red week. I also look at GS, AAPL, AMZN.
Duration : 0:11:0
Today I look only at the SPY and VIX chart, but I forecast two potential scenarios in the market, that both lead to a higher (lower volume) ending day (0.5-1%) for tuesdays trade. The first is a small gap higher due to the amateurish action that happened in the last 20 minutes of trading and then a sustained low volume increase until the end of the day, potentially forming a doji green candle. The second is a continued sell off lower to hit the 88.20 level in which we will reverse mid day and end the day potentially flat or slightly positive. I hope you take my words of advice that I put out on this video because it is extremely important in order to become a good trader!
Duration : 0:10:20